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Definitive Analysis

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K-TOP Reits Co.,Ltd. (145270.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$872.19 - $1,337.54$1,089.32
Multi-Stage$2,081.11 - $2,297.25$2,187.02
Blended Fair Value$1,638.17
Current Price$955.00
Upside71.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS38.69%3.38%97.35110.6739.4279.3524.1918.9718.6017.4417.7737.23
YoY Growth---12.04%180.78%-50.32%227.99%27.50%2.00%6.67%-1.87%-52.26%-46.67%
Dividend Yield--10.14%10.65%4.35%4.82%1.66%2.59%2.15%2.02%1.41%1.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,518.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,518.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)903.77564.86338.91
Cash Retained (M)4,518.864,518.864,518.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-903.77-564.86-338.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,615.093,954.004,179.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.6046.6046.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.5884.8589.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.5884.8589.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend77.5884.8589.70
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.48%-1.48%-0.48%
Fair Value$872.19$1,089.32$1,337.54
Upside / Downside-8.67%14.06%40.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,518.864,452.024,386.164,321.284,257.364,194.394,320.22
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.00801.361,579.022,333.493,065.303,774.953,996.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.48%-1.48%-0.48%
Year 1 PV (M)746.95754.61762.27
Year 2 PV (M)1,371.881,400.161,428.73
Year 3 PV (M)1,889.731,948.462,008.39
Year 4 PV (M)2,313.822,410.202,509.55
Year 5 PV (M)2,656.032,795.022,939.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)87,996.4292,601.5797,397.54
Equity Value (M)96,974.82101,910.02107,046.27
Shares Outstanding (M)46.6046.6046.60
Fair Value$2,081.11$2,187.02$2,297.25
Upside / Downside117.92%129.01%140.55%

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