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Definitive Analysis

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Hanmi Pharm. Co., Ltd. (128940.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,525,315.16 - $1,797,243.60$1,684,204.37
Multi-Stage$478,218.39 - $524,533.65$500,944.11
Blended Fair Value$1,092,574.24
Current Price$367,000.00
Upside197.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.26%0.00%961.861,378.63459.06450.56623.63433.79686.130.001,564.380.00
YoY Growth---30.23%200.32%1.89%-27.75%43.76%-36.78%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.43%0.42%0.18%0.17%0.21%0.18%0.17%0.00%0.60%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118,530.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36,941.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)81,588.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,706.0714,816.308,889.78
Cash Retained (M)81,588.8881,588.8881,588.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,706.07-14,816.30-8,889.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)57,882.8066,772.5872,699.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0513.0513.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,434.365,115.405,569.43
LTM Dividend per Share2,830.062,830.062,830.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,434.365,115.405,569.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,264.427,945.468,399.49
WACC / Discount Rate4.94%4.94%4.94%
Growth Rate4.99%5.99%6.99%
Fair Value$1,525,315.16$1,684,204.37$1,797,243.60
Upside / Downside315.62%358.91%389.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118,530.36125,624.80133,143.87141,112.98149,559.06158,510.68163,266.00
Payout Ratio31.17%42.93%54.70%66.47%78.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36,941.4953,934.5172,829.3893,792.87117,004.92142,659.61151,021.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.94%4.94%4.94%
Growth Rate4.99%5.99%6.99%
Year 1 PV (M)50,912.7151,397.6651,882.61
Year 2 PV (M)64,897.1466,139.3367,393.31
Year 3 PV (M)78,894.7781,170.7683,490.11
Year 4 PV (M)92,905.6296,496.28100,190.02
Year 5 PV (M)106,929.71112,120.25117,510.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,847,764.206,131,624.426,426,402.38
Equity Value (M)6,242,304.166,538,948.716,846,868.87
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0513.0513.05
Fair Value$478,218.39$500,944.11$524,533.65
Upside / Downside30.30%36.50%42.92%

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