Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sika AG (0Z4C.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$763.94 - $3,036.74$2,071.31
Multi-Stage$366.56 - $401.17$383.55
Blended Fair Value$1,227.43
Current Price$215.40
Upside469.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.85%6.23%1.653.072.782.212.031.811.761.521.231.14
YoY Growth---46.23%10.43%25.75%8.74%12.18%3.12%15.63%23.08%8.32%26.42%
Dividend Yield--0.76%1.12%1.25%0.58%0.84%1.00%1.44%1.18%1.52%1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,450.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)553.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,896.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)490.04306.28183.77
Cash Retained (M)1,896.701,896.701,896.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-490.04-306.28-183.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,406.661,590.431,712.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)160.46160.46160.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.779.9110.67
LTM Dividend per Share3.453.453.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.779.9110.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.2213.3614.12
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$763.94$2,071.31$3,036.74
Upside / Downside254.66%861.61%1,309.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,450.202,609.462,779.082,959.723,152.103,356.993,457.70
Payout Ratio22.59%36.07%49.55%63.04%76.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)553.50941.291,377.141,865.692,411.923,021.293,198.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)869.93878.17886.42
Year 2 PV (M)1,176.251,198.661,221.27
Year 3 PV (M)1,472.721,515.001,558.08
Year 4 PV (M)1,759.571,827.241,896.84
Year 5 PV (M)2,037.022,135.412,237.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,503.0153,990.6356,573.45
Equity Value (M)58,818.5161,545.1164,373.63
Shares Outstanding (M)160.46160.46160.46
Fair Value$366.56$383.55$401.17
Upside / Downside70.17%78.06%86.25%

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