Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Vitrolife AB (publ) (0YAY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.38 - $202.66$116.80
Multi-Stage$52.86 - $57.72$55.24
Blended Fair Value$86.02
Current Price$129.70
Upside-33.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.91%20.90%1.000.850.800.640.000.680.600.420.390.24
YoY Growth--17.39%5.50%25.29%0.00%-100.00%13.98%41.96%8.58%59.91%62.27%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.44%0.37%0.21%0.00%0.48%0.28%0.36%0.45%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)441.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)149.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)292.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)88.2055.1333.08
Cash Retained (M)292.00292.00292.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-88.20-55.13-33.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)203.80236.88258.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.46135.46135.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.501.751.91
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.501.751.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.853.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76.38$116.80$202.66
Upside / Downside-41.11%-9.95%56.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)441.00469.67500.19532.71567.33604.21622.33
Payout Ratio33.79%45.03%56.27%67.51%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)149.00211.49281.47359.65446.82543.79575.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)192.03193.85195.67
Year 2 PV (M)232.06236.48240.95
Year 3 PV (M)269.25276.98284.85
Year 4 PV (M)303.73315.41327.42
Year 5 PV (M)335.64351.85368.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,827.206,108.666,400.89
Equity Value (M)7,159.917,483.237,818.46
Shares Outstanding (M)135.46135.46135.46
Fair Value$52.86$55.24$57.72
Upside / Downside-59.25%-57.41%-55.50%

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