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Georg Fischer AG (0QP4.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.43 - $98.21$78.11
Multi-Stage$126.81 - $139.48$133.02
Blended Fair Value$105.56
Current Price$64.85
Upside62.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.76%13.95%1.301.301.000.761.261.261.151.000.900.85
YoY Growth--0.00%30.49%32.26%-39.81%0.00%9.57%14.63%10.81%5.71%141.38%
Dividend Yield--1.90%2.13%1.77%1.09%2.20%2.55%3.05%1.55%2.16%2.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)486.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)218.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)268.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)97.2060.7536.45
Cash Retained (M)268.00268.00268.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-97.20-60.75-36.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)170.80207.25231.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.0382.0382.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.532.82
LTM Dividend per Share2.662.662.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.532.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.745.185.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-1.09%-0.09%0.91%
Fair Value$61.43$78.11$98.21
Upside / Downside-5.27%20.44%51.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)486.00485.55485.11484.66484.22483.77498.28
Payout Ratio44.86%53.88%62.91%71.94%80.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)218.00261.64305.20348.68392.08435.39460.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-1.09%-0.09%0.91%
Year 1 PV (M)243.12245.58248.04
Year 2 PV (M)263.53268.88274.29
Year 3 PV (M)279.76288.33297.07
Year 4 PV (M)292.31304.32316.68
Year 5 PV (M)301.64317.20333.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,021.269,486.629,970.99
Equity Value (M)10,401.6210,910.9211,440.47
Shares Outstanding (M)82.0382.0382.03
Fair Value$126.81$133.02$139.48
Upside / Downside95.54%105.12%115.07%

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