Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Compagnie de l'Odet (0OPN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General TransportationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,127.18 - $3,091.76$2,594.55
Multi-Stage$3,463.41 - $3,813.54$3,635.04
Blended Fair Value$3,114.80
Current Price$1,492.00
Upside108.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.26%23.26%4.013.613.613.000.990.990.990.990.990.99
YoY Growth--11.11%0.00%20.47%202.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.25%0.25%0.26%0.23%0.13%0.13%0.12%0.10%0.14%0.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,221.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,204.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)244.26152.6691.60
Cash Retained (M)1,204.301,204.301,204.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-244.26-152.66-91.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)960.041,051.641,112.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.244.244.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share226.60248.22262.63
LTM Dividend per Share4.014.014.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share226.60248.22262.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend230.61252.23266.65
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,127.18$2,594.55$3,091.76
Upside / Downside42.57%73.90%107.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,221.301,209.091,197.001,185.031,173.181,161.441,196.29
Payout Ratio1.39%19.11%36.84%54.56%72.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.00231.10440.92646.51847.951,045.301,106.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)210.60212.75214.90
Year 2 PV (M)366.17373.68381.27
Year 3 PV (M)489.29504.42519.86
Year 4 PV (M)584.82609.06634.05
Year 5 PV (M)656.99691.20726.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,365.5713,009.4713,679.92
Equity Value (M)14,673.4415,400.5816,156.82
Shares Outstanding (M)4.244.244.24
Fair Value$3,463.41$3,635.04$3,813.54
Upside / Downside132.13%143.64%155.60%

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