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Definitive Analysis

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Eckert & Ziegler Strahlen- und Medizintechnik AG (0NZY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.97 - $32.00$18.35
Multi-Stage$8.19 - $8.95$8.57
Blended Fair Value$13.46
Current Price$17.82
Upside-24.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-29.95%-10.54%0.010.130.130.120.110.080.050.040.040.04
YoY Growth---89.99%0.23%11.36%6.54%41.67%49.53%18.37%9.99%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.07%1.08%0.96%0.61%0.49%0.66%0.79%1.54%1.81%2.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.954.972.98
Cash Retained (M)29.3329.3329.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.95-4.97-2.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.3724.3626.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.3678.3678.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.310.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.310.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.440.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11.97$18.35$32.00
Upside / Downside-32.82%2.96%79.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.7542.3445.0948.0251.1454.4756.10
Payout Ratio26.23%38.99%51.74%64.49%77.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.4316.5123.3330.9739.5049.0251.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14.9915.1315.27
Year 2 PV (M)19.2419.6119.98
Year 3 PV (M)23.2023.8624.54
Year 4 PV (M)26.8727.9128.97
Year 5 PV (M)30.2831.7533.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)527.59553.08579.54
Equity Value (M)642.18671.33701.57
Shares Outstanding (M)78.3678.3678.36
Fair Value$8.19$8.57$8.95
Upside / Downside-54.01%-51.93%-49.76%

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