Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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init innovation in traffic systems SE (0EWR.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.94 - $334.37$148.02
Multi-Stage$37.68 - $41.18$39.39
Blended Fair Value$93.71
Current Price$38.00
Upside146.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.09%-1.48%0.700.700.550.550.410.130.240.220.220.81
YoY Growth---0.27%26.84%0.20%35.33%203.46%-43.15%6.18%0.78%-72.82%0.12%
Dividend Yield--1.71%1.84%1.83%1.50%1.17%0.67%1.83%1.11%1.52%5.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.332.081.25
Cash Retained (M)8.718.718.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.33-2.08-1.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.386.637.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.909.909.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.670.75
LTM Dividend per Share0.800.800.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.670.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.471.56
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$68.94$148.02$334.37
Upside / Downside81.41%289.54%779.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.6517.7318.8920.1121.4222.8123.50
Payout Ratio47.67%56.14%64.60%73.07%81.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.949.9612.2014.7017.4720.5321.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9.179.269.34
Year 2 PV (M)10.3510.5510.75
Year 3 PV (M)11.4811.8112.15
Year 4 PV (M)12.5713.0513.55
Year 5 PV (M)13.6114.2614.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)315.97331.23347.07
Equity Value (M)373.14390.15407.80
Shares Outstanding (M)9.909.909.90
Fair Value$37.68$39.39$41.18
Upside / Downside-0.85%3.67%8.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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