Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Barrick Gold Corporation (0ABX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.73 - $72.84$46.31
Multi-Stage$39.78 - $43.66$41.68
Blended Fair Value$43.99
Current Price$19.41
Upside126.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.42%11.61%0.400.410.630.360.330.320.070.070.050.09
YoY Growth---2.36%-35.06%74.68%9.12%2.70%348.59%0.00%45.35%-46.25%-31.03%
Dividend Yield--2.07%2.42%3.41%1.48%1.67%1.76%0.54%0.57%0.26%0.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,764.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)688.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,076.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)552.80345.50207.30
Cash Retained (M)2,076.002,076.002,076.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-552.80-345.50-207.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,523.201,730.501,868.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,736.131,736.131,736.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.001.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.001.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.391.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Fair Value$31.73$46.31$72.84
Upside / Downside63.47%138.57%275.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,764.002,858.432,956.103,057.093,161.543,269.563,367.65
Payout Ratio24.89%37.91%50.93%63.96%76.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)688.001,083.721,505.681,955.212,433.702,942.603,115.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Year 1 PV (M)1,007.481,017.321,027.15
Year 2 PV (M)1,301.271,326.811,352.59
Year 3 PV (M)1,570.891,617.361,664.73
Year 4 PV (M)1,817.761,889.811,963.97
Year 5 PV (M)2,043.242,144.962,250.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)61,314.6464,367.0667,539.86
Equity Value (M)69,055.2972,363.3175,798.99
Shares Outstanding (M)1,736.131,736.131,736.13
Fair Value$39.78$41.68$43.66
Upside / Downside104.92%114.74%124.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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