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Definitive Analysis

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GalaxiaMoneytree Co.,Ltd (094480.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,481.07 - $2,554.06$1,943.22
Multi-Stage$2,343.16 - $2,572.44$2,455.61
Blended Fair Value$2,199.42
Current Price$10,950.00
Upside-79.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.89%0.00%45.0245.0235.0243.4872.4733.8225.6219.980.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%28.57%-19.47%-40.00%114.29%31.99%28.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.56%0.59%0.41%0.87%1.28%0.76%0.47%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,553.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,763.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,789.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)910.61569.13341.48
Cash Retained (M)2,789.732,789.732,789.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-910.61-569.13-341.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,879.122,220.602,448.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.1739.1739.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share47.9856.7062.51
LTM Dividend per Share45.0245.0245.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share47.9856.7062.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend93.00101.72107.53
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate0.74%1.74%2.74%
Fair Value$1,481.07$1,943.22$2,554.06
Upside / Downside-86.47%-82.25%-76.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,553.054,632.064,712.454,794.234,877.434,962.075,110.93
Payout Ratio38.73%48.98%59.24%69.49%79.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,763.322,268.912,791.513,331.573,889.544,465.864,727.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate0.74%1.74%2.74%
Year 1 PV (M)2,098.442,119.272,140.10
Year 2 PV (M)2,387.812,435.452,483.56
Year 3 PV (M)2,635.662,714.932,795.78
Year 4 PV (M)2,845.882,960.583,078.71
Year 5 PV (M)3,022.073,175.083,334.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)78,783.7482,772.5886,921.37
Equity Value (M)91,773.5996,177.89100,753.75
Shares Outstanding (M)39.1739.1739.17
Fair Value$2,343.16$2,455.61$2,572.44
Upside / Downside-78.60%-77.57%-76.51%

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