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Definitive Analysis

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Huons Global Co., Ltd. (084110.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$163,202.37 - $397,176.37$372,212.43
Multi-Stage$58,346.19 - $63,837.96$61,041.72
Blended Fair Value$216,627.07
Current Price$45,900.00
Upside371.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.21%22.17%1,277.191,595.19484.06829.11920.35990.82828.02522.70634.15370.15
YoY Growth---19.93%229.54%-41.62%-9.91%-7.11%19.66%58.41%-17.58%71.32%114.59%
Dividend Yield--3.18%6.95%2.46%2.69%3.14%4.27%2.32%0.90%3.23%0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24,388.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11,479.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,908.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,877.663,048.531,829.12
Cash Retained (M)12,908.3812,908.3812,908.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,877.66-3,048.53-1,829.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,030.739,859.8511,079.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.2112.2112.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share657.62807.41907.26
LTM Dividend per Share940.07940.07940.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share657.62807.41907.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,597.691,747.481,847.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$163,202.37$372,212.43$397,176.37
Upside / Downside255.56%710.92%765.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24,388.2825,973.5227,661.7929,459.8131,374.7033,414.0534,416.47
Payout Ratio47.07%55.66%64.24%72.83%81.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11,479.9014,456.1017,770.7221,455.1525,543.4830,072.6531,835.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,442.2113,569.6313,697.04
Year 2 PV (M)15,365.4015,658.0715,953.50
Year 3 PV (M)17,250.0417,745.2218,249.80
Year 4 PV (M)19,096.6919,831.0920,586.48
Year 5 PV (M)20,905.9121,915.6722,964.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)626,448.83656,706.54688,122.29
Equity Value (M)712,509.08745,426.23779,573.19
Shares Outstanding (M)12.2112.2112.21
Fair Value$58,346.19$61,041.72$63,837.96
Upside / Downside27.12%32.99%39.08%

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