Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HANA Micron Inc. (067310.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,052.30 - $6,574.47$5,184.45
Multi-Stage$8,317.69 - $9,152.62$8,727.01
Blended Fair Value$6,955.73
Current Price$22,150.00
Upside-68.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS1.09%0.00%82.86105.50136.14135.5268.6278.490.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---21.46%-22.51%0.46%97.49%-12.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.71%0.41%0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,609.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,448.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,161.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,321.932,701.211,620.72
Cash Retained (M)14,161.4614,161.4614,161.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,321.93-2,701.21-1,620.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,839.5311,460.2612,540.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.6957.6957.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share170.56198.65217.38
LTM Dividend per Share129.11129.11129.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share170.56198.65217.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend299.67327.76346.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Fair Value$4,052.30$5,184.45$6,574.47
Upside / Downside-81.71%-76.59%-70.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,609.6721,628.9021,648.1521,667.4221,686.7121,706.0122,357.19
Payout Ratio34.47%45.57%56.68%67.79%78.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,448.209,857.0712,270.2114,687.6517,109.3819,535.4120,680.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Year 1 PV (M)9,170.179,262.719,355.26
Year 2 PV (M)10,619.6710,835.1011,052.69
Year 3 PV (M)11,826.0812,187.7512,556.72
Year 4 PV (M)12,816.0013,341.2313,882.45
Year 5 PV (M)13,613.5114,314.4515,043.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)421,799.97443,517.81466,121.15
Equity Value (M)479,845.40503,459.06528,012.25
Shares Outstanding (M)57.6957.6957.69
Fair Value$8,317.69$8,727.01$9,152.62
Upside / Downside-62.45%-60.60%-58.68%

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