Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Korea Aerospace Industries, Ltd. (047810.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23,927.80 - $48,047.63$33,302.01
Multi-Stage$25,743.19 - $28,189.28$26,943.47
Blended Fair Value$30,122.74
Current Price$108,000.00
Upside-72.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.11%9.60%499.52249.76199.81199.81399.61199.810.00679.34399.61249.75
YoY Growth--100.00%25.00%0.00%-50.00%100.00%0.00%-100.00%70.00%60.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--0.67%0.48%0.42%0.47%1.09%0.95%0.00%1.36%0.69%0.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)137,094.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48,737.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)88,356.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27,418.8317,136.7710,282.06
Cash Retained (M)88,356.5988,356.5988,356.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-27,418.83-17,136.77-10,282.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)60,937.7671,219.8278,074.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.5797.5797.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share624.56729.94800.20
LTM Dividend per Share499.52499.52499.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share624.56729.94800.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,124.081,229.461,299.71
WACC / Discount Rate7.92%7.92%7.92%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Fair Value$23,927.80$33,302.01$48,047.63
Upside / Downside-77.84%-69.16%-55.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)137,094.14142,687.11148,508.24154,566.87160,872.66167,435.70172,458.77
Payout Ratio35.55%46.44%57.33%68.22%79.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48,737.5566,264.3885,140.16105,445.78127,266.50150,692.13159,524.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.92%7.92%7.92%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Year 1 PV (M)60,810.2561,400.1961,990.12
Year 2 PV (M)71,701.4373,099.3674,510.79
Year 3 PV (M)81,492.8083,887.6286,328.91
Year 4 PV (M)90,261.1393,815.0197,472.82
Year 5 PV (M)98,078.53102,929.15107,969.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,109,399.752,213,723.272,322,134.13
Equity Value (M)2,511,743.902,628,854.602,750,406.59
Shares Outstanding (M)97.5797.5797.57
Fair Value$25,743.19$26,943.47$28,189.28
Upside / Downside-76.16%-75.05%-73.90%

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