Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Namhae Chemical Corporation (025860.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,676.41 - $29,145.44$17,518.13
Multi-Stage$14,200.21 - $15,593.60$14,883.69
Blended Fair Value$16,200.91
Current Price$7,830.00
Upside106.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.71%4.57%60.23100.3860.2380.3060.2350.1980.3045.1760.2348.58
YoY Growth---40.00%66.67%-25.00%33.33%20.00%-37.50%77.78%-25.00%23.98%26.04%
Dividend Yield--0.97%1.37%0.67%0.73%0.67%0.72%0.70%0.32%0.67%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,761.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,835.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,925.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,152.263,220.171,932.10
Cash Retained (M)21,925.4321,925.4321,925.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,152.26-3,220.17-1,932.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,773.1618,705.2619,993.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.7747.7747.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share351.13391.58418.55
LTM Dividend per Share80.3080.3080.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share351.13391.58418.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend431.44471.88498.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate2.57%3.57%4.57%
Fair Value$11,676.41$17,518.13$29,145.44
Upside / Downside49.12%123.73%272.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,761.3226,679.7427,630.8928,615.9529,636.1430,692.6931,613.47
Payout Ratio14.89%29.91%44.93%59.96%74.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,835.907,980.4712,415.6917,157.0022,220.5927,623.4229,242.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate2.57%3.57%4.57%
Year 1 PV (M)7,431.187,503.637,576.08
Year 2 PV (M)10,765.3710,976.3211,189.31
Year 3 PV (M)13,852.5114,261.6614,678.78
Year 4 PV (M)16,705.9817,367.1018,047.65
Year 5 PV (M)19,338.5020,299.8121,298.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)610,229.06640,563.21672,091.86
Equity Value (M)678,322.60710,971.72744,882.65
Shares Outstanding (M)47.7747.7747.77
Fair Value$14,200.21$14,883.69$15,593.60
Upside / Downside81.36%90.09%99.15%

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