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Seoul City Gas Co., Ltd. (017390.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$251,396.10 - $796,604.58$404,717.85
Multi-Stage$267,290.39 - $293,263.08$280,032.29
Blended Fair Value$342,375.07
Current Price$57,300.00
Upside497.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.14%5.66%2,330.031,782.691,792.161,783.5216,706.221,813.721,739.931,788.211,818.291,624.07
YoY Growth--30.70%-0.53%0.48%-89.32%821.10%4.24%-2.70%-1.65%11.96%20.84%
Dividend Yield--4.78%3.08%0.36%0.97%18.81%2.96%2.08%2.10%2.24%1.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37,913.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,019.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)27,893.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,582.694,739.182,843.51
Cash Retained (M)27,893.7727,893.7727,893.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,582.69-4,739.18-2,843.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,311.0823,154.5925,050.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.913.913.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share5,198.055,925.776,410.92
LTM Dividend per Share2,564.262,564.262,564.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share5,198.055,925.776,410.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,762.328,490.038,975.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Fair Value$251,396.10$404,717.85$796,604.58
Upside / Downside338.74%606.31%1,290.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37,913.4639,482.1941,115.8242,817.0544,588.6746,433.5947,826.60
Payout Ratio26.43%39.14%51.86%64.57%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,019.6915,454.2121,321.3027,647.4534,460.6041,790.2344,239.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Year 1 PV (M)14,395.6814,535.2614,674.84
Year 2 PV (M)18,500.5518,861.0419,225.01
Year 3 PV (M)22,346.6023,002.9223,671.98
Year 4 PV (M)25,945.6626,966.6428,017.46
Year 5 PV (M)29,309.0730,757.7732,263.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)933,923.28980,085.371,028,055.05
Equity Value (M)1,044,420.841,094,209.001,145,907.53
Shares Outstanding (M)3.913.913.91
Fair Value$267,290.39$280,032.29$293,263.08
Upside / Downside366.48%388.71%411.80%

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