Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Halla Corporation (014790.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,533.87 - $2,375.52$1,923.90
Multi-Stage$3,384.52 - $3,733.74$3,555.67
Blended Fair Value$2,739.78
Current Price$2,385.00
Upside14.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-29.05%0.330.34109.38344.060.000.00471.5930.220.00114.73
YoY Growth---1.44%-99.69%-68.21%0.00%0.00%-100.00%1,460.76%0.00%-100.00%1,018.61%
Dividend Yield--0.02%0.02%4.45%5.87%0.00%0.00%11.57%0.74%0.00%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,593.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,589.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,718.611,699.131,019.48
Cash Retained (M)13,589.1913,589.1913,589.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,718.61-1,699.13-1,019.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,870.5811,890.0612,569.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.7482.7482.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share131.38143.70151.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share131.38143.70151.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend131.43143.75151.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,533.87$1,923.90$2,375.52
Upside / Downside-35.69%-19.33%-0.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,593.0613,457.1313,322.5613,189.3413,057.4412,926.8713,314.67
Payout Ratio0.03%18.02%36.02%54.01%72.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.872,425.354,798.407,123.749,402.1011,634.1812,316.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,256.502,279.532,302.55
Year 2 PV (M)4,153.544,238.744,324.80
Year 3 PV (M)5,737.085,914.506,095.55
Year 4 PV (M)7,044.797,336.777,637.72
Year 5 PV (M)8,110.368,532.688,972.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)252,731.51265,891.83279,594.75
Equity Value (M)280,033.78294,194.04308,927.79
Shares Outstanding (M)82.7482.7482.74
Fair Value$3,384.52$3,555.67$3,733.74
Upside / Downside41.91%49.08%56.55%

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