Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanmi Science Co., Ltd. (008930.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DistributionSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36,039.89 - $179,795.19$64,380.25
Multi-Stage$21,555.69 - $23,578.33$22,548.53
Blended Fair Value$43,464.39
Current Price$38,900.00
Upside11.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.32%0.00%302.41198.38196.27192.46188.72185.04181.440.00410.970.00
YoY Growth--52.44%1.08%1.98%1.98%1.99%1.98%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.15%0.53%0.50%0.44%0.34%0.73%0.25%0.00%0.79%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75,141.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,542.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)61,598.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15,028.329,392.705,635.62
Cash Retained (M)61,598.8561,598.8561,598.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-15,028.32-9,392.70-5,635.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)46,570.5352,206.1555,963.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)67.2167.2167.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share692.95776.80832.71
LTM Dividend per Share201.51201.51201.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share692.95776.80832.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend894.46978.321,034.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36,039.89$64,380.25$179,795.19
Upside / Downside-7.35%65.50%362.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75,141.5980,025.7985,227.4790,767.2696,667.13102,950.49106,039.01
Payout Ratio18.02%32.42%46.81%61.21%75.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,542.7425,943.0639,898.2055,557.9073,084.7992,655.4498,086.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23,769.7523,995.0524,220.36
Year 2 PV (M)33,493.4634,131.4234,775.40
Year 3 PV (M)42,732.2743,958.9645,208.91
Year 4 PV (M)51,503.9553,484.6555,521.93
Year 5 PV (M)59,825.7262,715.3265,715.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,237,352.231,297,116.801,359,168.71
Equity Value (M)1,448,677.381,515,402.211,584,610.82
Shares Outstanding (M)67.2167.2167.21
Fair Value$21,555.69$22,548.53$23,578.33
Upside / Downside-44.59%-42.03%-39.39%

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