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Definitive Analysis

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Mirae Asset Securities Co. Ltd. (006800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58,126.60 - $208,010.34$96,573.55
Multi-Stage$53,648.88 - $58,856.63$56,203.91
Blended Fair Value$76,388.73
Current Price$21,450.00
Upside256.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.20%0.00%154.04211.54324.90227.72315.84263.77213.7044.46258.497.08
YoY Growth---27.18%-34.89%42.68%-27.90%19.74%23.43%380.68%-82.80%3,549.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.65%5.03%2.66%3.20%5.01%2.85%0.48%2.86%0.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,220,193.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)148,678.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,071,514.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)244,038.68152,524.1891,514.51
Cash Retained (M)1,071,514.421,071,514.421,071,514.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-244,038.68-152,524.18-91,514.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)827,475.74918,990.25979,999.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)583.49583.49583.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,418.151,574.991,679.55
LTM Dividend per Share254.81254.81254.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,418.151,574.991,679.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,672.961,829.791,934.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Fair Value$58,126.60$96,573.55$208,010.34
Upside / Downside170.99%350.23%869.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,220,193.421,276,492.781,335,389.781,397,004.281,461,461.641,528,893.051,574,759.85
Payout Ratio12.18%27.75%43.31%58.87%74.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)148,678.99354,199.90578,369.63822,471.581,087,867.831,376,003.751,456,652.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Year 1 PV (M)329,105.93332,282.20335,458.47
Year 2 PV (M)499,321.24509,005.86518,783.50
Year 3 PV (M)659,755.07679,042.33698,701.86
Year 4 PV (M)810,821.49842,579.19875,260.78
Year 5 PV (M)952,919.07999,799.381,048,506.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,051,731.1229,431,779.0130,865,615.10
Equity Value (M)31,303,653.9332,794,487.9834,342,326.59
Shares Outstanding (M)583.49583.49583.49
Fair Value$53,648.88$56,203.91$58,856.63
Upside / Downside150.11%162.02%174.39%

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