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Definitive Analysis

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SamYoung Chemical Co.,Ltd (003720.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,690.20 - $2,498.24$2,077.06
Multi-Stage$3,001.45 - $3,305.04$3,150.27
Blended Fair Value$2,613.66
Current Price$3,785.00
Upside-30.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%20.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,057.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)658.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,398.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,411.41882.13529.28
Cash Retained (M)6,398.596,398.596,398.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,411.41-882.13-529.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,987.185,516.465,869.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.0233.0233.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share151.02167.04177.73
LTM Dividend per Share19.9419.9419.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share151.02167.04177.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend170.96186.98197.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,690.20$2,077.06$2,498.24
Upside / Downside-55.34%-45.12%-34.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,057.076,986.506,916.636,847.476,778.996,711.206,912.54
Payout Ratio9.33%25.46%41.60%57.73%73.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)658.481,779.092,877.213,953.205,007.386,040.086,394.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,631.991,648.641,665.29
Year 2 PV (M)2,421.102,470.762,520.93
Year 3 PV (M)3,051.473,145.843,242.13
Year 4 PV (M)3,545.613,692.563,844.03
Year 5 PV (M)3,923.224,127.514,340.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)84,546.5888,949.1193,533.17
Equity Value (M)99,119.96104,034.42109,145.77
Shares Outstanding (M)33.0233.0233.02
Fair Value$3,001.45$3,150.27$3,305.04
Upside / Downside-20.70%-16.77%-12.68%

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