Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Streamax Technology Co., Ltd. (002970.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$158.19 - $386.79$362.48
Multi-Stage$56.75 - $62.10$59.38
Blended Fair Value$210.93
Current Price$47.66
Upside342.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS134.78%22.60%0.780.240.130.510.410.010.270.160.110.09
YoY Growth--229.69%78.98%-73.87%24.58%3,614.29%-95.99%67.77%51.87%13.16%-7.06%
Dividend Yield--1.38%0.88%0.53%1.76%0.80%0.02%1.00%0.60%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)343.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)163.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)180.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.7542.9725.78
Cash Retained (M)180.57180.57180.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.75-42.97-25.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)111.82137.60154.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)176.76176.76176.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.780.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.780.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.561.701.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$158.19$362.48$386.79
Upside / Downside231.92%660.54%711.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)343.77366.11389.91415.25442.25470.99485.12
Payout Ratio47.47%55.98%64.48%72.99%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)163.20204.95251.43303.09360.41423.89448.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)190.56192.37194.18
Year 2 PV (M)217.38221.52225.70
Year 3 PV (M)243.65250.65257.78
Year 4 PV (M)269.40279.76290.41
Year 5 PV (M)294.62308.85323.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,816.129,241.949,684.06
Equity Value (M)10,031.7310,495.0810,975.74
Shares Outstanding (M)176.76176.76176.76
Fair Value$56.75$59.38$62.10
Upside / Downside19.08%24.58%30.29%

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