Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen WOTE Advanced Materials Co., Ltd (002886.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.66 - $31.41$29.44
Multi-Stage$7.15 - $7.82$7.48
Blended Fair Value$18.46
Current Price$23.28
Upside-20.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.99%15.85%0.150.160.160.110.090.090.030.030.030.03
YoY Growth---4.61%-4.45%53.62%15.44%-0.42%181.52%8.83%11.27%-11.56%-10.28%
Dividend Yield--0.78%0.88%0.92%0.52%0.61%0.59%0.23%0.25%0.36%0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.335.203.12
Cash Retained (M)3.383.383.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.33-5.20-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.94-1.820.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)263.53263.53263.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate5.36%5.36%5.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.66$29.44$31.41
Upside / Downside14.53%26.46%34.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.6344.3347.2150.2853.5557.0358.74
Payout Ratio91.87%91.50%91.12%90.75%90.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.2440.5643.0245.6348.4051.3354.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.36%5.36%5.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)38.1438.5038.86
Year 2 PV (M)38.0338.7639.49
Year 3 PV (M)37.9339.0240.13
Year 4 PV (M)37.8239.2840.77
Year 5 PV (M)37.7239.5441.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,693.441,775.241,860.16
Equity Value (M)1,883.091,970.332,060.84
Shares Outstanding (M)263.53263.53263.53
Fair Value$7.15$7.48$7.82
Upside / Downside-69.31%-67.88%-66.41%

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