Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dianguang Explosion-proof Technology Co., Ltd. (002730.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.59 - $53.71$50.33
Multi-Stage$31.32 - $34.36$32.82
Blended Fair Value$41.57
Current Price$15.99
Upside160.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.33%10.70%0.160.130.130.080.110.090.090.020.070.10
YoY Growth--21.49%0.41%53.58%-24.61%21.05%6.80%276.12%-69.29%-22.51%69.13%
Dividend Yield--0.98%1.59%1.48%0.82%0.69%1.30%0.99%0.21%0.38%0.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.0711.927.15
Cash Retained (M)39.6939.6939.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.07-11.92-7.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.6227.7732.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)352.99352.99352.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.59$50.33$53.71
Upside / Downside185.09%214.77%235.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.33101.52108.12115.15122.64130.61134.53
Payout Ratio58.37%64.69%71.02%77.35%83.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.6465.6876.7989.07102.61117.55124.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)63.6664.2764.87
Year 2 PV (M)72.1573.5274.91
Year 3 PV (M)81.1283.4585.82
Year 4 PV (M)90.5994.0797.66
Year 5 PV (M)100.59105.45110.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,648.3011,162.6111,696.61
Equity Value (M)11,056.4011,583.3712,130.36
Shares Outstanding (M)352.99352.99352.99
Fair Value$31.32$32.82$34.36
Upside / Downside95.89%105.22%114.91%

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