Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tianjin Printronics Circuit Corporation (002134.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.19 - $15.42$12.83
Multi-Stage$2.02 - $2.21$2.12
Blended Fair Value$7.47
Current Price$20.53
Upside-63.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS78.10%15.57%0.050.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.01
YoY Growth--509.83%0.00%-100.00%-59.60%12.29%0.00%-100.00%148.30%-87.24%-45.49%
Dividend Yield--0.25%0.09%0.00%0.01%0.04%0.03%0.00%0.02%0.01%0.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.612.261.35
Cash Retained (M)1.661.661.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.61-2.26-1.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.95-0.600.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)232.67232.67232.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.19$12.83$15.42
Upside / Downside-79.60%-37.49%-24.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.0419.2220.4721.8023.2124.7225.46
Payout Ratio90.82%90.65%90.49%90.33%90.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.3917.4218.5219.6920.9322.2523.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.1216.2716.42
Year 2 PV (M)15.8516.1616.46
Year 3 PV (M)15.5916.0416.50
Year 4 PV (M)15.3415.9316.54
Year 5 PV (M)15.0915.8216.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)393.10412.08431.80
Equity Value (M)471.09492.30514.29
Shares Outstanding (M)232.67232.67232.67
Fair Value$2.02$2.12$2.21
Upside / Downside-90.14%-89.69%-89.23%

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