Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fujian SBS Zipper Science&Technology Co., Ltd (002098.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.05 - $108.46$101.64
Multi-Stage$58.26 - $64.00$61.07
Blended Fair Value$81.36
Current Price$8.72
Upside832.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.50%4.36%0.130.030.050.080.140.170.020.080.080.05
YoY Growth--315.77%-38.23%-34.68%-42.51%-17.63%734.84%-75.00%0.00%67.98%-45.00%
Dividend Yield--1.66%0.55%0.83%1.11%2.18%2.84%0.19%0.49%0.51%0.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)197.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)166.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.4124.6314.78
Cash Retained (M)166.60166.60166.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.41-24.63-14.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)127.19141.96151.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)357.94357.94357.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate2.95%2.95%2.95%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Fair Value$92.05$101.64$108.46
Upside / Downside955.57%1,065.58%1,143.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)197.06207.89219.31231.35244.06257.47265.19
Payout Ratio15.46%30.37%45.28%60.18%75.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.4763.1399.29139.24183.27231.72245.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.95%2.95%2.95%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)60.7461.3261.90
Year 2 PV (M)91.9293.6995.47
Year 3 PV (M)124.02127.62131.28
Year 4 PV (M)157.07163.17169.44
Year 5 PV (M)191.08200.40210.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,227.9521,214.5622,239.30
Equity Value (M)20,852.7921,860.7622,907.49
Shares Outstanding (M)357.94357.94357.94
Fair Value$58.26$61.07$64.00
Upside / Downside568.09%600.39%633.92%

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