Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yuhan Corporation (000100.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$153,882.90 - $181,304.97$169,907.06
Multi-Stage$38,086.94 - $41,715.84$39,867.87
Blended Fair Value$104,887.46
Current Price$119,100.00
Upside-11.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.20%7.48%430.72365.38349.45334.19318.65304.31291.28277.99275.30241.70
YoY Growth--17.88%4.56%4.57%4.87%4.72%4.47%4.78%0.98%13.90%15.41%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.46%0.73%0.63%0.59%0.81%0.77%0.84%0.87%0.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68,133.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37,481.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,651.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,626.628,516.645,109.98
Cash Retained (M)30,651.9930,651.9930,651.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,626.62-8,516.64-5,109.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,025.3622,135.3525,542.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)74.6374.6374.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share228.13296.60342.25
LTM Dividend per Share502.22502.22502.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share228.13296.60342.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend730.35798.82844.47
WACC / Discount Rate5.49%5.49%5.49%
Growth Rate5.35%6.35%7.35%
Fair Value$153,882.90$169,907.06$181,304.97
Upside / Downside29.20%42.66%52.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68,133.1172,458.8177,059.1481,951.5587,154.5692,687.9295,468.55
Payout Ratio55.01%62.01%69.01%76.00%83.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37,481.1244,931.1953,176.1862,286.9872,340.3183,419.1388,308.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.49%5.49%5.49%
Growth Rate5.35%6.35%7.35%
Year 1 PV (M)42,190.6542,591.1342,991.62
Year 2 PV (M)46,887.1347,781.4848,684.29
Year 3 PV (M)51,570.5853,053.1354,563.83
Year 4 PV (M)56,241.0558,407.0660,635.05
Year 5 PV (M)60,898.5463,844.2666,902.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,584,669.062,709,692.002,839,506.79
Equity Value (M)2,842,457.002,975,369.073,113,284.46
Shares Outstanding (M)74.6374.6374.63
Fair Value$38,086.94$39,867.87$41,715.84
Upside / Downside-68.02%-66.53%-64.97%

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