Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Shenzhen Ecobeauty Co., Ltd. (000010.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.29 - $0.42$0.35
Multi-Stage$0.51 - $0.57$0.54
Blended Fair Value$0.45
Current Price$4.46
Upside-90.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-50.34%46.89%0.000.020.020.050.030.080.050.040.090.02
YoY Growth---87.24%-13.23%-53.33%90.39%-69.29%68.45%9.82%-49.59%350.48%36,746.98%
Dividend Yield--0.09%0.82%0.80%1.42%0.62%2.37%1.35%0.99%1.31%0.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.035.643.39
Cash Retained (M)41.4841.4841.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.03-5.64-3.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.4535.8438.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,139.291,139.291,139.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.04
WACC / Discount Rate8.16%8.16%8.16%
Growth Rate-2.56%-1.56%-0.56%
Fair Value$0.29$0.35$0.42
Upside / Downside-93.53%-92.12%-90.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45.1544.4543.7543.0742.4041.7443.00
Payout Ratio8.13%24.50%40.88%57.25%73.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.6710.8917.8824.6631.2237.5739.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.16%8.16%8.16%
Growth Rate-2.56%-1.56%-0.56%
Year 1 PV (M)9.9710.0710.17
Year 2 PV (M)14.9815.2915.60
Year 3 PV (M)18.9019.4920.09
Year 4 PV (M)21.9022.8223.76
Year 5 PV (M)24.1225.3926.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)495.21521.15548.16
Equity Value (M)585.08614.20644.48
Shares Outstanding (M)1,139.291,139.291,139.29
Fair Value$0.51$0.54$0.57
Upside / Downside-88.49%-87.91%-87.32%

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