Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zotefoams plc (ZTF.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.24 - $6.01$4.37
Multi-Stage$3.47 - $3.79$3.62
Blended Fair Value$4.00
Current Price$3.21
Upside24.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.56%5.31%0.070.070.060.060.020.060.050.050.050.05
YoY Growth--5.73%5.08%3.71%214.64%-67.14%9.83%6.28%2.95%3.08%13.64%
Dividend Yield--2.26%1.93%1.89%1.54%0.52%1.34%0.77%1.13%1.99%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.131.330.80
Cash Retained (M)3.513.513.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.13-1.33-0.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.382.182.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.7149.7149.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate8.78%8.78%8.78%
Growth Rate3.31%4.31%5.31%
Fair Value$3.24$4.37$6.01
Upside / Downside0.79%36.21%87.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.6511.1011.5812.0812.6013.1413.54
Payout Ratio67.07%71.65%76.24%80.83%85.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.147.968.839.7710.7611.8312.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.78%8.78%8.78%
Growth Rate3.31%4.31%5.31%
Year 1 PV (M)7.247.317.38
Year 2 PV (M)7.327.467.61
Year 3 PV (M)7.377.597.81
Year 4 PV (M)7.407.697.99
Year 5 PV (M)7.407.778.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)135.64142.33149.29
Equity Value (M)172.37180.15188.22
Shares Outstanding (M)49.7149.7149.71
Fair Value$3.47$3.62$3.79
Upside / Downside8.03%12.91%17.96%

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