Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Volex plc (VLX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.76 - $22.59$14.28
Multi-Stage$6.92 - $7.56$7.23
Blended Fair Value$10.76
Current Price$3.13
Upside243.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS38.41%0.00%0.050.040.030.040.030.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--44.78%14.69%-15.62%9.21%231.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.67%1.03%1.18%1.07%0.74%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.4410.906.54
Cash Retained (M)70.8070.8070.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.44-10.90-6.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.3659.9064.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)185.27185.27185.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.320.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.320.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.44
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.76$14.28$22.59
Upside / Downside211.69%356.17%621.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.2092.8798.91105.34112.19119.48123.06
Payout Ratio18.81%33.05%47.29%61.53%75.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.4130.6946.7764.8184.99107.53113.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.7528.0128.28
Year 2 PV (M)38.2338.9639.69
Year 3 PV (M)47.8949.2750.67
Year 4 PV (M)56.7858.9761.21
Year 5 PV (M)64.9568.0871.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,046.131,096.661,149.12
Equity Value (M)1,281.731,339.941,400.31
Shares Outstanding (M)185.27185.27185.27
Fair Value$6.92$7.23$7.56
Upside / Downside121.02%131.06%141.47%

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