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Definitive Analysis

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Vector Capital Plc (VCAP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.35 - $0.48$0.42
Multi-Stage$0.50 - $0.54$0.52
Blended Fair Value$0.47
Current Price$0.30
Upside56.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.030.020.010.020.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.79%10.18%157.75%-42.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.67%5.84%5.24%2.24%3.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.630.390.23
Cash Retained (M)0.840.840.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.63-0.39-0.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.210.440.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.2445.2445.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate13.28%13.28%13.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.35$0.42$0.48
Upside / Downside18.11%39.64%60.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.133.093.063.033.002.973.06
Payout Ratio73.28%76.62%79.97%83.31%86.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.292.372.452.532.602.672.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate13.28%13.28%13.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2.072.092.11
Year 2 PV (M)1.871.911.95
Year 3 PV (M)1.691.741.79
Year 4 PV (M)1.521.581.64
Year 5 PV (M)1.361.431.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)14.0314.7615.52
Equity Value (M)22.5423.5124.53
Shares Outstanding (M)45.2445.2445.24
Fair Value$0.50$0.52$0.54
Upside / Downside66.04%73.24%80.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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