Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TerraVest Industries Inc. (TVK.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.36 - $416.24$189.52
Multi-Stage$71.16 - $77.82$74.43
Blended Fair Value$131.97
Current Price$169.10
Upside-21.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.88%4.41%0.520.420.350.360.360.340.360.360.360.36
YoY Growth--24.97%18.97%-2.53%-0.27%5.89%-4.60%-1.01%0.33%1.05%5.07%
Dividend Yield--0.47%0.95%1.28%1.32%2.27%2.63%3.53%3.88%4.06%5.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.0210.016.01
Cash Retained (M)67.4167.4167.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.02-10.01-6.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.3957.4061.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.2520.2520.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.542.833.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.630.630.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.542.833.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.163.463.66
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$113.36$189.52$416.24
Upside / Downside-32.96%12.07%146.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.0885.2990.8396.74103.02109.72113.01
Payout Ratio15.83%30.66%45.50%60.33%75.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.6826.1541.3358.3677.4498.75104.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23.8924.1224.34
Year 2 PV (M)34.4835.1435.80
Year 3 PV (M)44.4845.7647.06
Year 4 PV (M)53.9255.9958.12
Year 5 PV (M)62.8165.8468.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,221.071,280.051,341.29
Equity Value (M)1,440.651,506.901,575.61
Shares Outstanding (M)20.2520.2520.25
Fair Value$71.16$74.43$77.82
Upside / Downside-57.92%-55.99%-53.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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