Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Track & Field Co S.A. (TFCO4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.83 - $182.35$124.07
Multi-Stage$21.99 - $24.07$23.01
Blended Fair Value$73.54
Current Price$17.01
Upside332.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS47.78%0.00%0.050.040.060.040.760.010.080.070.000.00
YoY Growth--33.74%-45.43%61.06%-94.67%11,160.41%-91.90%13.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.30%0.60%0.35%6.31%0.07%0.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.9017.4410.46
Cash Retained (M)108.62108.62108.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.90-17.44-10.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)80.7291.1898.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)152.15152.15152.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.83$124.07$182.35
Upside / Downside169.41%629.37%972.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.51148.58158.24168.52179.48191.14196.88
Payout Ratio22.14%35.72%49.29%62.86%76.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.8953.0777.99105.93137.17172.03182.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)49.0449.5149.97
Year 2 PV (M)66.6167.8869.16
Year 3 PV (M)83.6186.0188.46
Year 4 PV (M)100.07103.91107.87
Year 5 PV (M)115.98121.58127.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,931.083,072.653,219.64
Equity Value (M)3,346.393,501.543,662.50
Shares Outstanding (M)152.15152.15152.15
Fair Value$21.99$23.01$24.07
Upside / Downside29.30%35.29%41.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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