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Definitive Analysis

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STERIS plc (STE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$221.58 - $1,059.77$392.59
Multi-Stage$135.37 - $147.95$141.55
Blended Fair Value$267.07
Current Price$247.44
Upside7.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.31%15.18%2.222.031.861.651.351.241.141.040.940.66
YoY Growth--9.63%9.30%12.46%21.92%8.78%9.36%9.30%10.45%42.93%21.85%
Dividend Yield--0.93%0.93%0.83%0.80%0.66%0.81%0.76%0.99%1.16%0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)688.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)230.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)458.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)137.7086.0651.64
Cash Retained (M)458.20458.20458.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-137.70-86.06-51.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)320.50372.14406.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)98.8298.8298.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.243.774.11
LTM Dividend per Share2.332.332.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.243.774.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.576.106.44
WACC / Discount Rate8.15%8.15%8.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$221.58$392.59$1,059.77
Upside / Downside-10.45%58.66%328.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)688.51733.26780.92831.68885.74943.31971.61
Payout Ratio33.45%44.76%56.07%67.38%78.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)230.30328.20437.86560.38696.99848.98898.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.15%8.15%8.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)300.61303.46306.31
Year 2 PV (M)367.33374.33381.39
Year 3 PV (M)430.60442.96455.55
Year 4 PV (M)490.54509.40528.80
Year 5 PV (M)547.27573.71601.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,241.4611,784.4312,348.17
Equity Value (M)13,377.8113,988.2814,621.38
Shares Outstanding (M)98.8298.8298.82
Fair Value$135.37$141.55$147.95
Upside / Downside-45.29%-42.80%-40.21%

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