Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Indo Acidatama Tbk (SRSN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,256.07 - $1,481.97$1,387.85
Multi-Stage$2,049.59 - $2,266.22$2,155.73
Blended Fair Value$1,771.79
Current Price$68.00
Upside2,505.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.001.000.000.002.001.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.00%1.89%0.00%0.00%3.03%1.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48,224.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,022.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,201.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,644.846,028.023,616.81
Cash Retained (M)42,201.4342,201.4342,201.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,644.84-6,028.02-3,616.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,556.6036,173.4138,584.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,020.006,020.006,020.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.416.016.41
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.416.016.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.417.017.41
WACC / Discount Rate-19.19%-19.19%-19.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,256.07$1,387.85$1,481.97
Upside / Downside1,747.16%1,940.95%2,079.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48,224.1947,741.9547,264.5346,791.8846,323.9645,860.7247,236.54
Payout Ratio12.49%27.99%43.49%59.00%74.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,022.7513,363.5720,556.9727,605.1634,510.3441,274.6543,693.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-19.19%-19.19%-19.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16,369.2716,536.3016,703.34
Year 2 PV (M)30,844.1331,476.8232,115.92
Year 3 PV (M)50,735.3452,304.3653,905.41
Year 4 PV (M)77,691.9880,911.9584,230.99
Year 5 PV (M)113,819.61119,746.46125,917.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,049,070.6512,676,493.7113,329,785.85
Equity Value (M)12,338,530.9812,977,469.6113,642,659.19
Shares Outstanding (M)6,020.006,020.006,020.00
Fair Value$2,049.59$2,155.73$2,266.22
Upside / Downside2,914.10%3,070.19%3,232.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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