Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Sekar Laut Tbk (SKLT.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,221.47 - $4,238.47$3,972.07
Multi-Stage$664.18 - $726.98$695.00
Blended Fair Value$2,333.54
Current Price$218.00
Upside970.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS40.94%27.40%4.992.694.791.501.500.900.700.500.670.55
YoY Growth--85.38%-43.75%220.02%0.00%66.67%28.57%40.00%-25.00%20.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--2.81%2.09%2.49%0.73%0.75%0.56%0.47%0.43%0.90%1.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)132,789.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56,085.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)76,703.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26,557.9216,598.709,959.22
Cash Retained (M)76,703.9176,703.9176,703.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-26,557.92-16,598.70-9,959.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)50,145.9960,105.2166,744.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,230.676,230.676,230.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.059.6510.71
LTM Dividend per Share9.009.009.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.059.6510.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.0518.6519.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,221.47$3,972.07$4,238.47
Upside / Downside919.02%1,722.05%1,844.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)132,789.60141,420.93150,613.29160,403.15170,829.35181,933.26187,391.26
Payout Ratio42.24%51.79%61.34%70.89%80.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56,085.7073,240.7892,389.06113,717.18137,427.61163,739.94173,336.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)68,246.8968,893.7869,540.67
Year 2 PV (M)80,219.5881,747.5383,289.91
Year 3 PV (M)92,005.9294,647.0897,338.31
Year 4 PV (M)103,608.07107,592.55111,690.85
Year 5 PV (M)115,028.15120,584.05126,352.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,679,171.923,856,877.304,041,383.88
Equity Value (M)4,138,280.534,330,342.294,529,596.21
Shares Outstanding (M)6,230.676,230.676,230.67
Fair Value$664.18$695.00$726.98
Upside / Downside204.67%218.81%233.48%

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