Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sealmatic India Limited (SEALMATIC.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$213.02 - $316.28$262.30
Multi-Stage$385.54 - $424.64$404.70
Blended Fair Value$333.50
Current Price$473.75
Upside-29.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.051.050.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%4,877.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.16%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)251.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)231.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.3131.4518.87
Cash Retained (M)231.66231.66231.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.31-31.45-18.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)181.34200.21212.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.519.519.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share19.0821.0622.39
LTM Dividend per Share2.092.092.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share19.0821.0622.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend21.1723.1624.48
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$213.02$262.30$316.28
Upside / Downside-55.04%-44.63%-33.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)251.57249.05246.56244.09241.65239.24246.41
Payout Ratio7.91%24.33%40.75%57.17%73.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.9160.60100.47139.54177.82215.31227.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)55.6856.2456.81
Year 2 PV (M)84.8186.5588.31
Year 3 PV (M)108.23111.57114.99
Year 4 PV (M)126.71131.97137.38
Year 5 PV (M)140.97148.31155.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,148.373,312.313,483.01
Equity Value (M)3,664.773,846.964,036.46
Shares Outstanding (M)9.519.519.51
Fair Value$385.54$404.70$424.64
Upside / Downside-18.62%-14.57%-10.37%

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