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Definitive Analysis

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Mizrahi Tefahot Bank Ltd. (MZTF.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,014.23 - $4,218.39$2,583.41
Multi-Stage$507.62 - $555.06$530.90
Blended Fair Value$1,557.16
Current Price$217.90
Upside614.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.46%0.00%7.305.333.674.800.672.170.951.280.710.33
YoY Growth--36.98%45.40%-23.58%610.80%-68.90%129.15%-26.05%79.57%116.28%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.38%3.81%3.27%3.83%0.77%3.28%1.27%1.91%1.16%0.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,532.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,375.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,157.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,106.40691.50414.90
Cash Retained (M)3,157.003,157.003,157.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,106.40-691.50-414.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,050.602,465.502,742.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)260.80260.80260.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.869.4510.51
LTM Dividend per Share9.119.119.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.869.4510.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.9718.5619.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.27%7.27%7.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,014.23$2,583.41$4,218.39
Upside / Downside365.45%1,085.59%1,835.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,532.005,891.586,274.536,682.387,116.737,579.327,806.70
Payout Ratio42.93%52.35%61.76%71.17%80.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,375.003,083.983,875.104,756.045,735.126,821.397,221.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.27%7.27%7.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,848.112,875.102,902.10
Year 2 PV (M)3,305.003,367.953,431.50
Year 3 PV (M)3,746.093,853.633,963.20
Year 4 PV (M)4,171.764,332.204,497.22
Year 5 PV (M)4,582.414,803.755,033.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)113,736.35119,229.86124,933.61
Equity Value (M)132,389.72138,462.48144,761.18
Shares Outstanding (M)260.80260.80260.80
Fair Value$507.62$530.90$555.06
Upside / Downside132.96%143.65%154.73%

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