Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IVS Group S.A. (IVS.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.76 - $37.13$16.88
Multi-Stage$4.58 - $5.01$4.79
Blended Fair Value$10.83
Current Price$7.14
Upside51.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-0.25%7.14%0.120.120.000.000.130.120.100.010.050.05
YoY Growth---4.53%0.00%0.00%-100.00%7.53%17.28%1,768.40%-89.25%0.52%-14.73%
Dividend Yield--1.81%3.36%0.00%0.00%1.95%1.10%0.88%0.05%0.60%0.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.362.101.26
Cash Retained (M)6.276.276.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.36-2.10-1.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.914.175.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)89.8089.8089.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.14%6.14%7.14%
Fair Value$7.76$16.88$37.13
Upside / Downside8.66%136.36%419.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.8217.8518.9520.1121.3522.6623.34
Payout Ratio62.72%68.17%73.63%79.09%84.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.5512.1713.9515.9118.0520.4021.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.14%6.14%7.14%
Year 1 PV (M)11.2511.3611.46
Year 2 PV (M)11.9212.1512.38
Year 3 PV (M)12.5612.9213.29
Year 4 PV (M)13.1713.6814.20
Year 5 PV (M)13.7614.4215.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)348.88365.79383.35
Equity Value (M)411.54430.33449.81
Shares Outstanding (M)89.8089.8089.80
Fair Value$4.58$4.79$5.01
Upside / Downside-35.81%-32.88%-29.85%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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