Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hammond Manufacturing Company Limited (HMM-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95.69 - $303.25$284.19
Multi-Stage$39.51 - $43.29$41.37
Blended Fair Value$162.78
Current Price$10.11
Upside1,510.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.42%11.60%0.060.060.060.040.040.040.040.020.020.02
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%50.11%0.00%-0.22%0.44%100.00%0.00%0.00%-0.44%
Dividend Yield--0.71%0.52%0.97%0.99%1.16%2.82%2.02%0.87%1.09%0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.462.161.30
Cash Retained (M)16.6116.6116.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.46-2.16-1.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.1614.4515.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3411.3411.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.271.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.271.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.221.331.41
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$95.69$284.19$303.25
Upside / Downside846.50%2,710.99%2,899.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.2918.4219.6220.8922.2523.6924.41
Payout Ratio3.93%21.15%38.36%55.57%72.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.683.897.5211.6116.1921.3222.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.613.653.68
Year 2 PV (M)6.476.596.72
Year 3 PV (M)9.259.529.79
Year 4 PV (M)11.9712.4312.90
Year 5 PV (M)14.6115.3116.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)402.24421.67441.84
Equity Value (M)448.14469.16490.97
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3411.3411.34
Fair Value$39.51$41.37$43.29
Upside / Downside290.83%309.16%328.18%

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