Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA (HLE.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$191.61 - $516.25$483.46
Multi-Stage$259.65 - $286.94$273.02
Blended Fair Value$378.24
Current Price$87.10
Upside334.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.730.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)311.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)86.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)224.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.2238.8923.33
Cash Retained (M)224.31224.31224.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.22-38.89-23.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)162.09185.42200.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.48111.48111.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.451.661.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.451.661.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.232.442.58
WACC / Discount Rate-0.86%-0.86%-0.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$191.61$483.46$516.25
Upside / Downside119.98%455.06%492.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)311.10307.99304.91301.86298.84295.85304.73
Payout Ratio27.90%40.32%52.74%65.16%77.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)86.79124.17160.80196.69231.84266.27281.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.86%-0.86%-0.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)123.98125.25126.51
Year 2 PV (M)160.31163.60166.92
Year 3 PV (M)195.78201.84208.02
Year 4 PV (M)230.42239.97249.81
Year 5 PV (M)264.23277.99292.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,971.9229,428.4830,945.10
Equity Value (M)28,946.6530,437.1331,988.68
Shares Outstanding (M)111.48111.48111.48
Fair Value$259.65$273.02$286.94
Upside / Downside198.11%213.45%229.43%

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