Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC (HIK.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$98.12 - $554.49$179.30
Multi-Stage$59.61 - $65.11$62.31
Blended Fair Value$120.80
Current Price$27.30
Upside342.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.53%12.27%0.780.610.560.540.490.430.380.350.340.29
YoY Growth--27.74%9.60%4.17%10.09%12.37%15.48%6.33%2.60%20.31%16.36%
Dividend Yield--3.14%2.69%2.98%1.79%1.42%1.65%1.72%2.36%1.48%0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)656.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)336.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)320.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)131.2082.0049.20
Cash Retained (M)320.00320.00320.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-131.20-82.00-49.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)188.80238.00270.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)223.30223.30223.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.851.071.21
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.851.071.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.352.572.72
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$98.12$179.30$554.49
Upside / Downside259.43%556.77%1,931.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)656.00698.64744.05792.41843.92898.78925.74
Payout Ratio51.22%58.98%66.73%74.49%82.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)336.00412.03496.52590.25694.07808.90856.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)377.83381.41384.99
Year 2 PV (M)417.52425.47433.50
Year 3 PV (M)455.15468.21481.53
Year 4 PV (M)490.78509.66529.07
Year 5 PV (M)524.51549.84576.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,045.7011,579.2112,133.14
Equity Value (M)13,311.4913,913.8114,538.38
Shares Outstanding (M)223.30223.30223.30
Fair Value$59.61$62.31$65.11
Upside / Downside118.36%128.24%138.48%

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