Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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FM Mattsson Mora Group AB (publ) (FMM-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$168.40 - $511.63$479.47
Multi-Stage$72.78 - $79.50$76.08
Blended Fair Value$277.77
Current Price$60.40
Upside359.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.27%11.91%2.502.502.501.501.150.950.950.952.160.81
YoY Growth--0.02%0.00%66.67%30.57%20.51%0.00%0.00%-55.95%166.67%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.00%4.75%4.39%1.95%1.73%3.75%3.57%3.54%6.91%2.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)108.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)95.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.7813.618.17
Cash Retained (M)13.7013.7013.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.78-13.61-8.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.080.095.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.3142.3142.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.190.000.13
LTM Dividend per Share2.252.252.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.190.000.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.062.252.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.45%6.45%7.45%
Fair Value$168.40$479.47$511.63
Upside / Downside178.80%693.82%747.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)108.90115.92123.40131.35139.83148.84153.31
Payout Ratio87.42%87.94%88.45%88.97%89.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)95.20101.94109.15116.86125.12133.96141.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.45%6.45%7.45%
Year 1 PV (M)94.6195.5096.40
Year 2 PV (M)94.0195.8097.61
Year 3 PV (M)93.4296.1098.83
Year 4 PV (M)92.8296.40100.07
Year 5 PV (M)92.2396.69101.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,612.142,738.372,869.44
Equity Value (M)3,079.233,218.863,363.67
Shares Outstanding (M)42.3142.3142.31
Fair Value$72.78$76.08$79.50
Upside / Downside20.49%25.96%31.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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