Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dekpol S.A. (DEK.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,240.99 - $2,690.82$2,521.69
Multi-Stage$400.98 - $439.21$419.74
Blended Fair Value$1,470.72
Current Price$83.60
Upside1,659.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.490.000.000.000.000.001.180.530.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%122.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.26%1.21%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.6314.148.49
Cash Retained (M)93.1693.1693.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.63-14.14-8.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.5379.0284.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.439.4510.13
LTM Dividend per Share2.392.392.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.439.4510.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8211.8412.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,240.99$2,521.69$2,690.82
Upside / Downside1,384.44%2,916.38%3,118.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113.15120.50128.33136.68145.56155.02159.67
Payout Ratio17.66%32.13%46.60%61.07%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.9938.7259.8083.46109.95139.52147.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)36.0436.3836.72
Year 2 PV (M)51.8252.8053.80
Year 3 PV (M)67.3269.2571.22
Year 4 PV (M)82.5585.7288.98
Year 5 PV (M)97.51102.21107.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,017.963,163.733,315.08
Equity Value (M)3,353.193,510.103,672.91
Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
Fair Value$400.98$419.74$439.21
Upside / Downside379.64%402.08%425.37%

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