Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cenergy Holdings S.A. (CENER.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.83 - $60.49$38.93
Multi-Stage$114.70 - $126.77$120.61
Blended Fair Value$79.77
Current Price$9.56
Upside734.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.82%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)283.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)241.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.8035.5021.30
Cash Retained (M)241.01241.01241.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.80-35.50-21.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)184.21205.51219.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)197.70197.70197.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.041.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.041.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.33
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.83$38.93$60.49
Upside / Downside180.70%307.17%532.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)283.98281.14278.32275.54272.79270.06278.16
Payout Ratio15.13%30.10%45.08%60.05%75.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.9784.64125.46165.47204.66243.05257.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)81.9882.8283.65
Year 2 PV (M)117.71120.13122.57
Year 3 PV (M)150.38155.03159.77
Year 4 PV (M)180.16187.62195.32
Year 5 PV (M)207.24218.03229.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,938.5423,080.9324,270.42
Equity Value (M)22,676.0023,844.5525,061.00
Shares Outstanding (M)197.70197.70197.70
Fair Value$114.70$120.61$126.77
Upside / Downside1,099.81%1,161.64%1,226.00%

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