Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Blackstone Loan Financing Limited (BGLP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.56 - $2.21$1.88
Multi-Stage$2.47 - $2.71$2.59
Blended Fair Value$2.24
Current Price$0.67
Upside233.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-0.87%0.00%0.090.080.080.070.110.090.090.060.060.00
YoY Growth--6.00%-0.12%8.91%-33.89%25.60%5.21%38.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--14.56%12.78%10.18%11.17%13.62%11.35%8.72%5.81%5.01%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.3713.368.01
Cash Retained (M)47.4647.4647.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.37-13.36-8.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.0934.1039.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)448.17448.17448.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.56$1.88$2.21
Upside / Downside132.97%180.89%230.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.86105.79104.73103.68102.65101.62104.67
Payout Ratio55.59%62.47%69.35%76.24%83.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.4066.0972.6379.0485.3291.4696.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)59.4960.1060.71
Year 2 PV (M)58.8660.0761.29
Year 3 PV (M)57.6759.4561.27
Year 4 PV (M)56.0458.3660.75
Year 5 PV (M)54.0856.8959.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)822.55865.39909.98
Equity Value (M)1,108.691,160.261,213.83
Shares Outstanding (M)448.17448.17448.17
Fair Value$2.47$2.59$2.71
Upside / Downside268.72%285.88%303.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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