Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Benteng Api Technic Tbk. (BATR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.77 - $44.49$36.06
Multi-Stage$64.91 - $71.48$68.13
Blended Fair Value$52.10
Current Price$80.00
Upside-34.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.6612.600.420.400.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-94.73%2,922.29%4.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,659.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,228.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,430.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,331.891,457.43874.46
Cash Retained (M)7,430.507,430.507,430.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,331.89-1,457.43-874.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,098.615,973.076,556.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,765.613,765.613,765.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.351.591.74
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.351.591.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.482.712.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$28.77$36.06$44.49
Upside / Downside-64.04%-54.92%-44.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,659.4611,542.8611,427.4311,313.1611,200.0311,088.0311,420.67
Payout Ratio36.27%47.02%57.76%68.51%79.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,228.965,427.056,600.767,750.458,876.489,979.2210,564.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,047.315,098.815,150.32
Year 2 PV (M)5,709.355,826.465,944.76
Year 3 PV (M)6,234.706,427.516,624.26
Year 4 PV (M)6,640.896,916.127,199.83
Year 5 PV (M)6,943.507,305.067,681.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)213,833.53224,968.34236,562.24
Equity Value (M)244,409.28256,542.31269,162.94
Shares Outstanding (M)3,765.613,765.613,765.61
Fair Value$64.91$68.13$71.48
Upside / Downside-18.87%-14.84%-10.65%

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