Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Poulaillon S.A. (ALPOU.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$226.99 - $357.71$335.23
Multi-Stage$57.83 - $63.39$60.55
Blended Fair Value$197.89
Current Price$5.15
Upside3,742.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.52%0.00%0.060.000.000.000.000.040.040.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.65%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.841.150.69
Cash Retained (M)8.898.898.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.84-1.15-0.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.057.748.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.115.115.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.511.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.511.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.441.571.66
WACC / Discount Rate6.14%6.14%6.14%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Fair Value$226.99$335.23$357.71
Upside / Downside4,307.61%6,409.26%6,845.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.209.7910.4211.1011.8212.5812.96
Payout Ratio3.34%20.67%38.00%55.34%72.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.312.023.966.148.5911.3211.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.14%6.14%6.14%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Year 1 PV (M)1.891.911.92
Year 2 PV (M)3.453.523.58
Year 3 PV (M)4.995.145.28
Year 4 PV (M)6.526.777.02
Year 5 PV (M)8.028.418.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)270.69283.77297.35
Equity Value (M)295.56309.50323.97
Shares Outstanding (M)5.115.115.11
Fair Value$57.83$60.55$63.39
Upside / Downside1,022.85%1,075.82%1,130.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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