Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SCSK Corporation (9719.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,806.39 - $39,071.47$20,736.33
Multi-Stage$4,543.48 - $4,968.88$4,752.30
Blended Fair Value$12,744.31
Current Price$4,429.00
Upside187.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.50%15.99%65.9753.9649.2846.6043.2738.2832.4531.6227.4519.96
YoY Growth--22.27%9.48%5.76%7.70%13.03%17.97%2.64%15.16%37.53%33.36%
Dividend Yield--1.52%1.71%2.18%2.03%1.96%2.19%1.79%1.84%1.63%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61,413.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,189.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,224.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,282.607,676.634,605.98
Cash Retained (M)39,224.0039,224.0039,224.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,282.60-7,676.63-4,605.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,941.4031,547.3834,618.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)312.59312.59312.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share86.19100.92110.74
LTM Dividend per Share70.9870.9870.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share86.19100.92110.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend157.17171.90181.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8,806.39$20,736.33$39,071.47
Upside / Downside98.83%368.19%782.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61,413.0065,404.8569,656.1674,183.8179,005.7684,141.1386,665.37
Payout Ratio36.13%46.90%57.68%68.45%79.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,189.0030,677.9040,176.6150,780.5462,593.2375,727.0280,165.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,300.4528,568.7028,836.96
Year 2 PV (M)34,190.7734,842.0035,499.39
Year 3 PV (M)39,865.8141,010.2142,176.31
Year 4 PV (M)45,331.3347,074.6448,867.76
Year 5 PV (M)50,592.9253,036.5855,573.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,221,984.981,281,007.311,342,288.57
Equity Value (M)1,420,266.261,485,539.451,553,242.74
Shares Outstanding (M)312.59312.59312.59
Fair Value$4,543.48$4,752.30$4,968.88
Upside / Downside2.58%7.30%12.19%

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