Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Potens (7712.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.03 - $62.75$51.88
Multi-Stage$79.71 - $87.71$83.63
Blended Fair Value$67.76
Current Price$120.50
Upside-43.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.410.000.920.610.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%0.00%0.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)159.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.9819.9911.99
Cash Retained (M)115.75115.75115.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.98-19.99-11.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)83.7895.77103.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.2731.2731.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.683.063.32
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.683.063.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.094.474.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$42.03$51.88$62.75
Upside / Downside-65.12%-56.95%-47.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)159.89158.29156.71155.14153.59152.05156.61
Payout Ratio27.60%40.08%52.56%65.04%77.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.1463.4582.37100.91119.06136.85144.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)58.4059.0059.60
Year 2 PV (M)69.7971.2372.67
Year 3 PV (M)78.7081.1483.62
Year 4 PV (M)85.4889.0392.68
Year 5 PV (M)90.4495.15100.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,109.562,219.412,333.78
Equity Value (M)2,492.382,614.952,742.41
Shares Outstanding (M)31.2731.2731.27
Fair Value$79.71$83.63$87.71
Upside / Downside-33.85%-30.60%-27.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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