Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Entrust Inc. (7191.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,227.34 - $2,602.82$1,742.30
Multi-Stage$882.85 - $964.99$923.17
Blended Fair Value$1,332.74
Current Price$904.00
Upside47.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS23.63%0.00%21.4715.9812.9811.4810.467.436.425.910.000.00
YoY Growth--34.37%23.13%13.03%9.71%40.76%15.71%8.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.37%1.93%1.38%2.00%1.49%1.00%1.21%0.75%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,465.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,364.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)293.06183.17109.90
Cash Retained (M)1,364.921,364.921,364.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-293.06-183.17-109.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,071.861,181.761,255.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.3922.3922.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share47.8752.7756.05
LTM Dividend per Share4.484.484.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share47.8752.7756.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend52.3557.2660.53
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,227.34$1,742.30$2,602.82
Upside / Downside35.77%92.73%187.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,465.321,560.571,662.011,770.041,885.092,007.622,067.85
Payout Ratio6.85%23.48%40.11%56.74%73.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.40366.44666.651,004.331,383.101,806.861,912.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)330.00333.13336.26
Year 2 PV (M)540.65550.95561.34
Year 3 PV (M)733.51754.57776.02
Year 4 PV (M)909.69944.67980.66
Year 5 PV (M)1,070.221,121.921,175.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,185.0216,966.7617,778.42
Equity Value (M)19,769.1020,672.0021,608.29
Shares Outstanding (M)22.3922.3922.39
Fair Value$882.85$923.17$964.99
Upside / Downside-2.34%2.12%6.75%

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