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Definitive Analysis

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TDK Corporation (6762.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,632.82 - $15,596.33$14,616.04
Multi-Stage$2,185.56 - $2,391.66$2,286.72
Blended Fair Value$8,451.38
Current Price$1,695.50
Upside398.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.72%17.03%25.5522.1919.5812.6311.9711.309.977.977.967.30
YoY Growth--15.15%13.32%55.08%5.49%5.91%13.30%25.17%0.04%9.15%37.69%
Dividend Yield--1.51%1.12%1.76%1.51%1.33%1.59%1.68%1.06%1.62%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148,996.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56,975.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)92,021.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29,799.2018,624.5011,174.70
Cash Retained (M)92,021.0092,021.0092,021.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-29,799.20-18,624.50-11,174.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)62,221.8073,396.5080,846.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,899.911,899.911,899.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share32.7538.6342.55
LTM Dividend per Share29.9929.9929.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share32.7538.6342.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend62.7468.6272.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,632.82$14,616.04$15,596.33
Upside / Downside232.22%762.05%819.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148,996.00158,680.74168,994.99179,979.66191,678.34204,137.43210,261.56
Payout Ratio38.24%48.59%58.94%69.30%79.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56,975.0077,105.2399,611.68124,718.19152,667.69183,723.69194,491.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)71,601.7872,280.4772,959.16
Year 2 PV (M)85,899.4187,535.5689,187.13
Year 3 PV (M)99,873.37102,740.38105,661.73
Year 4 PV (M)113,529.05117,895.06122,385.80
Year 5 PV (M)126,871.77132,999.73139,362.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,654,579.753,831,097.324,014,370.63
Equity Value (M)4,152,355.154,344,548.514,543,926.67
Shares Outstanding (M)1,899.911,899.911,899.91
Fair Value$2,185.56$2,286.72$2,391.66
Upside / Downside28.90%34.87%41.06%

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